Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.