SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitebsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Naftan |
67.97% ( 0.02) | 19.21% ( -0.01) | 12.82% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.02) | 44.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.02) | 66.69% ( -0.02) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( 0.01) | 12.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.52% ( 0.03) | 37.48% ( -0.02) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.76% ( -0) | 45.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.87% ( -0) | 81.13% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Naftan |
| 2-0 @ 12.2% 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 8.62% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 67.96% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.21% | 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.2% Total : 12.82% |
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