Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
