Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.