Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.21%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-3 (6.81%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
