Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beerschot Wilrijk win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
