Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cercle Brugge in this match.
