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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Le Canonnier

Mouscron
1 - 2
Cercle Brugge

Lepoint (90+1')
Mohamed (20'), Bakic (28'), Tabekou (45+1'), Onana (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ugbo (13'), Denkey (88')
Pavlovic (78'), Didillon (90+5')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Royal Excel Mouscron and Cercle Brugge.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cercle Brugge in this match.

Result
Royal Excel MouscronDrawCercle Brugge
35.91%25.08%39.02%
Both teams to score 57.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92%46.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62%68.38%
Royal Excel Mouscron Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75%
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6%23.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62%57.38%
Score Analysis
    Royal Excel Mouscron 35.91%
    Cercle Brugge 39.02%
    Draw 25.07%
Royal Excel MouscronDrawCercle Brugge
2-1 @ 8.16%
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 11.78%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.07%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-1 @ 8.52%
0-2 @ 6.19%
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 39.02%

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