Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.