Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
