Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Waasland-Beveren win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
