Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
