Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
