Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.