SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 49.06% | 23.5% | 27.45% |
| Both teams to score 59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% | 42.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.31% | 64.69% |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% | 17.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.18% | 47.83% |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% | 28.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.63% | 64.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.45% |
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