SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Leuven | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Royal Antwerp | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-0 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Club Brugge |
24.43% ( -0.42) | 23.65% ( -0.19) | 51.93% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.5% ( 0.44) | 45.5% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( 0.42) | 67.83% ( -0.41) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( -0.12) | 32.63% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.83% ( -0.13) | 69.18% ( 0.13) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.4) | 17.53% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( 0.68) | 48.05% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.43% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.93% |
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