SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Sint-Truiden | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Union SG | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Genk | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Charleroi | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Anderlecht | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Leuven | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union SG in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Charleroi |
56.69% ( 0.17) | 22.99% ( -0.06) | 20.32% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( 0.12) | 47.25% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( 0.11) | 69.48% ( -0.12) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 0.1) | 16.45% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.86% ( 0.19) | 46.14% ( -0.19) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( -0.04) | 37.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( -0.04) | 74.23% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.32% |
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