Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Genk had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
