Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
