Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MOL Vidi win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MOL Vidi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.