SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Kortrijk |
43.54% ( -0.58) | 25.18% ( -0.14) | 31.27% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( 0.91) | 47.68% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( 0.83) | 69.88% ( -0.84) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( 0.11) | 21.88% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.87% ( 0.17) | 55.13% ( -0.18) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( 0.94) | 28.66% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.52% ( 1.16) | 64.48% ( -1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.27% |
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