SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Kortrijk |
38.05% ( -0.55) | 24.45% ( 0.1) | 37.5% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.49) | 43.04% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.56% ( -0.48) | 65.44% ( 0.48) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.49) | 22.53% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.89% ( -0.74) | 56.11% ( 0.74) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( 0.01) | 22.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.47% ( 0.01) | 56.53% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.51% |
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