Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eupen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
28.24% ( -0.19) | 24.67% ( 0) | 47.08% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.62% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.98% ( -0.12) | 47.02% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.74% ( -0.11) | 69.26% ( 0.11) |
Eupen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( -0.2) | 30.44% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( -0.24) | 66.65% ( 0.23) |
Sint-Truiden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% ( 0.03) | 20.04% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.75% ( 0.05) | 52.25% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Eupen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.09% |
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