SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Eupen win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Eupen |
62.16% ( -0.07) | 20.57% ( 0.02) | 17.27% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.03) | 41.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( -0.03) | 63.68% ( 0.03) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( -0.03) | 12.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.01% ( -0.06) | 38.99% ( 0.07) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( 0.04) | 37.3% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.92% ( 0.03) | 74.09% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Eupen |
| 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.27% |
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