Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
