Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Genk in this match.