Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Union SG win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
