Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Genk had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.