Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-3 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Leuven win it was 2-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
