Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
