SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 13.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
67.98% ( -0.14) | 18.54% ( 0.16) | 13.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.3% ( -0.79) | 39.7% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.95% ( -0.83) | 62.05% ( 0.82) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.3% ( -0.26) | 10.7% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.39% ( -0.57) | 34.61% ( 0.57) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.54) | 41.3% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% ( -0.48) | 77.82% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 2-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.28% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.54% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 13.47% |
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