Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Cercle Brugge
72.23% ( 0.34)	16.4% ( -0.03)	11.37% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 53.66% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.17% (

-0.71)

34.83% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.2% (

-0.8)

56.8% (

0.81)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.58% (

-0.1)

8.42% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.74% (

-0.25)

29.26% (

0.25)

Cercle Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.59% (

-1)

41.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.08% (

-0.89)

77.92% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Genk 72.22%

Cercle Brugge 11.37%

Draw 16.4%

Genk	Draw	Cercle Brugge
2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 72.22%	1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.4%	1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.39% Total : 11.37%