SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Royal Antwerp | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Genk | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Kortrijk | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Sint-Truiden | 4 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
72.23% ( 0.34) | 16.4% ( -0.03) | 11.37% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.17% ( -0.71) | 34.83% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.2% ( -0.8) | 56.8% ( 0.81) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.58% ( -0.1) | 8.42% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.74% ( -0.25) | 29.26% ( 0.25) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( -1) | 41.41% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.08% ( -0.89) | 77.92% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 72.22% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.4% | 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.39% Total : 11.37% |
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