SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Leuven | 8 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Gent | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 28 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Derry City | 30 | 24 | 58 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athletic | 29 | 18 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Gent in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gent.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
53.48% ( -0.16) | 23.33% ( 0.06) | 23.19% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( -0.16) | 45.35% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.32% ( -0.15) | 67.68% ( 0.15) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( -0.11) | 16.9% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.05% ( -0.2) | 46.95% ( 0.2) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0) | 33.62% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( -0) | 70.27% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.19% |
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