Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.