Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
