Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.