Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
