SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Charleroi |
33.89% ( 0.18) | 24.49% ( 0.05) | 41.62% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.16) | 43.7% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% ( -0.16) | 66.09% ( 0.16) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( 0.03) | 25.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.2% ( 0.04) | 59.8% ( -0.04) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.17) | 21.08% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( -0.27) | 53.9% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.89% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.62% |
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