SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charleroi in this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
44.24% ( 0.19) | 26.39% ( -0.04) | 29.38% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% ( 0.09) | 53.5% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( 0.08) | 75.01% ( -0.08) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( 0.14) | 24.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( 0.19) | 58.33% ( -0.19) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.06) | 32.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( -0.07) | 69.55% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.23% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.38% |
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