Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.