SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Kortrijk |
61.61% ( -0.04) | 20.1% ( 0.01) | 18.29% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( 0.02) | 37.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( 0.02) | 59.46% ( -0.02) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( -0.01) | 11.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.28% ( -0.01) | 36.72% ( 0.01) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.26% ( 0.04) | 33.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( 0.05) | 70.39% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 4.3% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.1% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.29% |
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