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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 12
Dec 8, 2020 at 4pm UK
 

Leuven
2 - 0
Mouscron

Ngawa (56'), Henry (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Olinga (30'), Agouzoul (40'), Onana (42'), Bakic (78'), Brym (87')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Royal Excel Mouscron.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.

Result
LeuvenDrawRoyal Excel Mouscron
46.83%24.13%29.04%
Both teams to score 58.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87%44.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49%66.51%
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01%18.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46%50.54%
Royal Excel Mouscron Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85%64.14%
Score Analysis
    Leuven 46.83%
    Royal Excel Mouscron 29.04%
    Draw 24.12%
LeuvenDrawRoyal Excel Mouscron
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-1 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.04%

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