Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.