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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 18
Dec 15, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Le Canonnier
OL

Mouscron
2 - 2
Leuven

da Costa (71', 77')
Ciranni (29'), Agouzoul (30'), Koffi (54'), Olinga (59'), Tabekou (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlietinck (42'), Hubert (55' pen.)
Sowah (30'), Vekemans (74')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Royal Excel Mouscron and Leuven.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Royal Excel MouscronDrawLeuven
35.82%24.51%39.67%
Both teams to score 59.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56%43.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16%65.84%
Royal Excel Mouscron Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9%58.1%
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84%55.16%
Score Analysis
    Royal Excel Mouscron 35.82%
    Leuven 39.67%
    Draw 24.5%
Royal Excel MouscronDrawLeuven
2-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.03%
1-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.67%

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