Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.