Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
