SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leuven | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Charleroi | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Westerlo | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | KV Oostende | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 5 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | KV Oostende |
38.28% ( 0.09) | 25.35% ( 0.01) | 36.37% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.7% ( -0.05) | 47.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( -0.04) | 69.52% ( 0.05) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.03) | 24.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( 0.04) | 58.71% ( -0.04) |
| KV Oostende Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.08) | 25.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( -0.11) | 60.17% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | KV Oostende |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.28% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.37% |
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