SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Mechelen | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Standard Liege | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Charleroi | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Leuven | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | KV Oostende | 5 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Leuven |
48.14% ( -0.33) | 25.33% ( 0.06) | 26.53% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% ( -0.07) | 50.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( -0.06) | 72.77% ( 0.07) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( -0.17) | 21.15% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% ( -0.27) | 54.01% ( 0.27) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.17) | 33.79% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% ( 0.19) | 70.45% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Leuven |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.53% |
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