Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
