SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Zulte Waregem win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Zulte Waregem |
50.73% ( 0.09) | 23.36% ( -0.03) | 25.91% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.13% ( 0.08) | 42.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.72% ( 0.08) | 65.28% ( -0.08) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( 0.07) | 17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( 0.12) | 47.12% ( -0.12) |
| Zulte Waregem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( -0) | 30.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.85% ( -0.01) | 66.16% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Zulte Waregem |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.73% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 25.91% |
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