SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
46.08% ( 0.28) | 25.03% ( -0.05) | 28.9% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( 0.08) | 48.16% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( 0.07) | 70.31% ( -0.07) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( 0.16) | 20.93% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% ( 0.24) | 53.67% ( -0.24) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.13) | 30.55% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( -0.16) | 66.78% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.08% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.9% |
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