SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Leuven |
67.79% ( -0.06) | 18.68% ( 0.03) | 13.54% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.82% ( -0.07) | 40.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.45% ( -0.07) | 62.55% ( 0.07) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.12% ( -0.03) | 10.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.98% ( -0.08) | 35.02% ( 0.08) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.49% ( -0) | 41.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.99% ( -0) | 78.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.15% Total : 67.78% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.68% | 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.54% |
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